This should stir the pot….but for next year

Took another look at performance vs. Quota. It’s a little late to implement this year, but certainly something that we might want to revist next year. In the past, we used to have a Handicap Ceiling. That meant that a HDCP could be no higher than a 12, per say…

What if we had a Quota Floor? A number that you could no go below in terms of Quota, regardless of play. Do the numbers bear it out to even implement one?

Here’s what the IT Nerd did…Took a look at everyone’s rounds so far this year. Take DJ Mahar for example. DJ doesn’t have an Eagle (yet) this year, but he gets a Birdie 1.9% of the time. He gets a Par 42.6% of the time, a Bogey 40.7% of the time and doesn’t score 14.8% of the time. Over the course of an average round, DJ scores 12 points based on these numbers. His average Quota this year is an 11.7, putting his average performance at a +0.3. Each individual is at the bottom of this post.

I took a look at implementing a Quota Floor of a 4 and a 5. A Quota Floor of 4 would only affect Bob Moran, Bill Kirkby and Bobby Zaleski. A Quota Floor of 5 would only add Art Brillanti into the mix. I excluded subs from this analysis, but they would also be affected.

 

    Eagle % Birdie % Par % Bogey % No Pts % Avg Round Points Avg Quota Avg Perf Low of 4 Low of 5
Flight 1 Nick Wight 0.0% 3.7% 50.0% 37.0% 9.3% 13.7 13.9 (0.2) (0.2) (0.2)
  Pat Donahue 0.0% 9.5% 42.9% 34.9% 12.7% 14.3 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
  Brian Thompson 1.6% 4.8% 27.0% 31.7% 34.9% 10.6 12.3 (1.7) (1.7) (1.7)
  Mike Carroll 0.0% 1.6% 30.2% 52.4% 15.9% 10.7 11.4 (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
  Dick Donegan 0.0% 6.3% 39.7% 31.7% 22.2% 12.3 11.3 1.0 1.0 1.0
  TJ Donegan 0.0% 3.2% 50.8% 34.9% 11.1% 13.4 12.3 1.1 1.1 1.1
  Jack Donegan 0.0% 0.0% 41.7% 47.2% 11.1% 11.8 11.9 (0.1) (0.1) (0.1)
  Steve Donegan 0.0% 3.7% 38.9% 40.7% 16.7% 12.0 11.3 0.7 0.7 0.7
  Craig Hawkinson 0.0% 3.2% 36.5% 39.7% 20.6% 11.3 11.4 (0.1) (0.1) (0.1)
  Tom Phillips 0.0% 7.4% 22.2% 46.3% 24.1% 10.8 11.0 (0.2) (0.2) (0.2)
  Devin Carrigan 0.0% 7.4% 50.0% 31.5% 11.1% 14.5 13.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
  Dale Russell 0.0% 1.6% 39.7% 34.9% 23.8% 10.9 11.4 (0.6) (0.6) (0.6)
Flight 2 DJ Mahar 0.0% 1.9% 42.6% 40.7% 14.8% 12.0 11.7 0.3 0.3 0.3
  Vinny Procopio 0.0% 3.7% 29.6% 42.6% 24.1% 10.5 10.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
  Gary Thompson 0.0% 1.6% 22.2% 39.7% 36.5% 8.1 8.9 (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
  Rick Fanto 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 61.1% 27.8% 7.5 8.9 (1.4) (1.4) (1.4)
  Denny Welch 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 42.6% 44.4% 6.2 7.7 (1.5) (1.5) (1.5)
  Connor Brown 0.0% 6.3% 39.7% 50.8% 3.2% 14.0 11.9 2.1 2.1 2.1
  Gary Antos 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 48.9% 33.3% 7.6 8.4 (0.8) (0.8) (0.8)
  Matt Lochner 0.0% 1.6% 28.6% 42.9% 27.0% 9.6 10.7 (1.1) (1.1) (1.1)
  Drew Prucha 0.0% 3.2% 19.0% 46.0% 31.7% 8.7 9.1 (0.4) (0.4) (0.4)
  Jon Carroll 0.0% 4.8% 30.2% 38.1% 27.0% 10.6 10.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
  Sean Mott 0.0% 6.3% 34.9% 28.6% 30.2% 11.1 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
  Chris Donegan 0.0% 0.0% 33.3% 34.9% 31.7% 9.1 9.6 (0.4) (0.4) (0.4)
Flight 3 Bob Moran 0.0% 3.7% 13.0% 25.9% 57.4% 6.0 5.0 3.3 2.0 1.0
  Bob Zaleski 0.0% 0.0% 14.8% 24.1% 61.1% 4.8 5.0 1.1 0.8 (0.2)
  Bill Kirkby 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 28.9% 60.0% 4.6 5.0 2.2 0.6 (0.4)
  Art Brillanti 0.0% 0.0% 18.5% 37.0% 44.4% 6.7 5.7 1.4 1.4 1.0
  Bill John 0.0% 7.9% 34.9% 34.9% 22.2% 12.3 10.7 1.6 1.6 1.6
  Tony Massa 0.0% 1.6% 17.5% 34.9% 46.0% 6.9 6.6 0.3 0.3 0.3
  Tom Donegan 0.0% 3.2% 14.3% 42.9% 39.7% 7.6 7.0 0.6 0.6 0.6
  Jim Morgan 0.0% 1.9% 16.7% 27.8% 53.7% 6.2 7.1 (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)
  Pat Cregg 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 46.3% 42.6% 6.2 7.3 (1.1) (1.1) (1.1)
  Dan Mahar 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 42.9% 44.4% 6.1 6.6 (0.4) (0.4) (0.4)
  Joe Donegan 0.0% 3.2% 11.1% 36.5% 49.2% 6.4 7.1 (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
  Marty Donegan 0.0% 0.0% 20.6% 41.3% 38.1% 7.4 8.3 (0.9) (0.9) (0.9)

 

When you look at these numbers, it looks like the Quota Floor of 4 doesn’t do enough. A Quota Floor of 5 is what is needed to balance it out. That begs the question: What if we had implemented a Quota Floor of 5 at the start of the year? How would that have impacted results?

Bobby Mo – One Win becomes a Tie, a seperate Tie becomes a Win

Bill K – A Win and a Tie turns to two Losses

Bobby Z – Two Ties become two Losses

Art – No impact on results

With results changing, whats the impact to the standings?? The first standings is what it looks like today, the second set of standings is what it would look like with a Quota Floor of 5.

Team Standings     Pts Pts Back
TJ Donegan Connor Brown Tony Massa 33.5 0
Nick Wight DJ Mahar Bob Moran 32.5 -1
Tom Phillips Jon Carroll Dan Mahar 27 -6.5
Dick Donegan Denny Welch Bill John 25.5 -8
Craig Hawkinson Drew Prucha Pat Cregg 24.5 -9
Pat Donahue Vinny Procopio Bob Zaleski 24 -9.5
Devin Carrigan Sean Mott Joe Donegan 23.5 -10
Steve Donegan Matt Lochner Jim Morgan 22.5 -11
Dale Russell Chris Donegan Marty Donegan 22 -11.5
Jack Donegan Gary Antos Tom Donegan 21.5 -12
Mike Carroll Rick Fanto Art Brillanti 18 -15.5
Brian Thompson Gary Thompson Bill Kirkby 17.5 -16

 

Team Standings     Pts Pts Back
TJ Donegan Connor Brown Tony Massa 33.5 0
Nick Wight DJ Mahar Bob Moran 32.5 -1
Tom Phillips Jon Carroll Dan Mahar 27 -6.5
Dick Donegan Denny Welch Bill John 25.5 -8
Craig Hawkinson Drew Prucha Pat Cregg 24.5 -9
Pat Donahue Vinny Procopio Bob Zaleski 24 -9.5
Devin Carrigan Sean Mott Joe Donegan 23.5 -10
Steve Donegan Matt Lochner Jim Morgan 22.5 -11
Dale Russell Chris Donegan Marty Donegan 22 -11.5
Jack Donegan Gary Antos Tom Donegan 21.5 -12
Mike Carroll Rick Fanto Art Brillanti 18 -15.5
Brian Thompson Gary Thompson Bill Kirkby 17.5 -16

 

Nerd