…a more in-depth look at some stats

At the end of last year, I plotted out each players performance versus their quota. This was the result:

 

Picture2

 

 

When you look at the graph, a majority of the league was between 80-120% of their quota. We had 3 “curve-killers” at over 130%. What we want the distribution to look like was this:

 

Unit2Mod107

 

 

Ideally, you want golfers to hit 100% of their quota each and every week. There will be variations in performance week to week, but you don’t want large variations from the Quota via under or over performing.

In an attempt to get a more normal distribution like the one above, we made some modifications to the scoring system. There was a specific point of emphasis to bring the outlying points (those at +130% Quota Performance) back into normal distribution. Here’s what the curve looks like so far this year:

Picture1

Note the scale on the x-axis (the horizontal one for those who failed statistics) is modified. There is a significant amount of underperformance going on. I’d like to chalk that up to still shaking off the rust. As Quota’s move to better reflect play, I’d expect these numbers to be a tighter grouping. The good news is that there really isn’t a significant amount of overperformance. So who’s that curve-killer from Flight 2 in the 125%-135% range? It’s none other than the IT Nerd himself at 129.5%. That is likely to decrease as my Quota has risen from an 11 to start the year to a 15 heading into Week 6.

Here’s the full dataset behind these graphs

Flight 1 Total Quota Total Points Quota %
Devin Carrigan 66 43 65.2%
Nick Wight 73 68 93.2%
Pat Donahue 72 79 109.7%
Connor Brown 56 55 98.2%
Dick Donegan 65 65 100.0%
TJ Donegan 64 63 98.4%
Jack Donegan 24 16 66.7%
Craig Hawkinson 61 60 98.4%
Steve Donegan 60 60 100.0%
Bill John 36 25 69.4%
DJ Mahar 56 47 83.9%
Vinny Procopio 46 37 80.4%
Flight 2 Total Quota Total Points Quota %
Drew Prucha 36 34 94.4%
Matt Lochner 46 47 102.2%
Mike Carroll 61 79 129.5%
Brian Thompson 50 57 114.0%
Dale Russell 47 46 97.9%
Marty Donegan 46 45 97.8%
Sean Mott 53 60 113.2%
Tony Massa 38 22 57.9%
Rick Fanto 43 34 79.1%
Chris Donegan 46 38 82.6%
Jon Carroll 58 51 87.9%
Tom Phillips 53 46 86.8%
Flight 3 Total Quota Total Points Quota %
Bob Zaleski 21 22 104.8%
Bob Moran 26 12 46.2%
Art Brillanti 24 22 91.7%
Jim Morgan 27 24 88.9%
Pat Cregg 34 33 97.1%
Joe Donegan 34 30 88.2%
Dan Mahar 42 48 114.3%
Denny Welch 40 34 85.0%
Tom Donegan 37 24 64.9%
Gary Antos 24 21 87.5%
Gary Thompson 46 39 84.8%