With the new rule changes coming into place (Double Par is -1 pt, Quota only considering your last 4 rounds, Eagles dropping to 6 pts), the IT Nerd wanted to see how this would play out for the 2015 season. Think of it as the Pre-Season polls. I took a players last two seasons for a particular week and averaged them together. So if in Week 1, a player shot a 5 in 2014 and a 7 in 2013 on Hole #1, I would consider them getting a 6 on that hole for 2015.

To help me unveil these scores, I need a little assistance from a big fan of TBO Golf.

 

Jim, thanks for taking the time to stop by and chat. Let’s start by looking at the individual players and how they are projected to perform:

Player	Quota	Pts	Pts. %	Wins	Loses	Ties	Win %	Skins	Winnings
Jim Morgan	10	25	69.4%	11	4	3	61.1%	7	84
Joe Donegan	10	25	69.4%	12	5	1	66.7%	10	92
Pat Cregg	8	25	69.4%	11	4	3	61.1%	6	70
Pat Donahue	15	24	66.7%	12	6	0	66.7%	5	66
Bob Zaleski	5	24	66.7%	10	4	4	55.6%	1	18
Brian Thompson	13	24	66.7%	12	6	0	66.7%	6	73
Jack Donegan	13	24	66.7%	11	5	2	61.1%	1	36
Mike Carroll	14	22	61.1%	9	5	4	50.0%	10	95
Devin Carrigan	16	21	58.3%	9	6	3	50.0%	9	137
Matt Lochner	11	21	58.3%	8	5	5	44.4%	1	12
Connor Brown	15	21	58.3%	10	7	1	55.6%	5	57
Bill John	13	20	55.6%	9	7	2	50.0%	6	66
Art Brillanti	5	20	55.6%	9	7	2	50.0%	3	33
Denny Welch	10	19	52.8%	7	6	5	38.9%	9	99
Nick Wight	16	18	50.0%	7	7	4	38.9%	6	73
Dan Mahar	9	18	50.0%	8	8	2	44.4%	1	18
Sean Mott	11	18	50.0%	7	7	4	38.9%	5	96
Marty Donegan	8	18	50.0%	6	6	6	33.3%	1	12
Dale Russell	13	18	50.0%	7	7	4	38.9%	6	103
Vinny Procopio	12	17	47.2%	5	6	7	27.8%	2	25
Gary Thompson	9	17	47.2%	8	9	1	44.4%	7	80
Jon Carroll	13	17	47.2%	7	8	3	38.9%	7	108
Rick Fanto	11	17	47.2%	7	8	3	38.9%	2	21
Tom Phillips	12	16	44.4%	7	9	2	38.9%	6	61
Bob Moran	6	16	44.4%	5	7	6	27.8%	0	0
Dick Donegan	13	15	41.7%	7	10	1	38.9%	2	24
Tom Donegan	7	15	41.7%	6	9	3	33.3%	3	66
Bill Kirkby	4	15	41.7%	6	9	3	33.3%	2	27
Craig Hawkinson	13	15	41.7%	7	10	1	38.9%	4	45
Drew Prucha	10	14	38.9%	5	9	4	27.8%	1	12
TJ Donegan	13	13	36.1%	5	10	3	27.8%	4	48
Chris Donegan	11	13	36.1%	5	10	3	27.8%	3	42
Steve Donegan	13	13	36.1%	5	10	3	27.8%	2	15
Tony Massa	9	11	30.6%	4	11	3	22.2%	1	12
Gary Antos	9	11	30.6%	4	11	3	22.2%	4	60
DJ Mahar	12	8	22.2%	4	14	0	22.2%	2	19

Wow Jim, looks like Jim Morgan had a fantastic year. What are your thoughts on that?

Spot on, Jim. No wonder CBS pays you so well. Now how about the person in second? I believe he’s known as Joey “Jaguar Steelz” Donegan?

I don’t know what a “Jaguar Steelz” is either Jim, but judging by that look of disbelief I’m guessing that you don’t believe he’ll do as well as projected. History is on your side, Mr. Nantz. Joey has only finished in the Top 10 once, finishing 8th in 2011. But what about those at the bottom? DJ Mahar to finish last? Your immediate reaction, Jim?

I see you are just as shocked as I am. I find it hard to believe that a past champion who is the caliber player DJ is to struggle that much. Also, Gary Antos at the bottom as well? What comes to mind when you think of a player like Gary?

That’s quite a smile for you there, Jim. Those thunder-calf muscles really get you going? Before you get too much of a hard-on, let’s take a look at the team projections. Which team is projected to take down the coveted prize?

Team Standings				Pts	Pts Back	Team
Jack Donegan	Sean Mott	Joe Donegan		80	–	7
Connor Brown	Brian Thompson	Art Brillanti		78	(2.0)	4
Nick Wight	Matt Lochner	Bob Zaleski		74	(6.0)	2
Pat Donahue	Mike Carroll	Bob Moran		70.5	(9.5)	3
Dick Donegan	Dale Russell	Jim Morgan		67.5	(12.5)	5
TJ Donegan	Marty Donegan	Pat Cregg		63.5	(16.5)	6
Devin Carrigan	Drew Prucha	Bill Kirkby		62.5	(17.5)	1
Vinny Procopio	Tom Phillips	Gary Thompson		60	(20.0)	12
Steve Donegan	Rick Fanto	Denny Welch		57	(23.0)	9
Bill John	Chris Donegan	Tom Donegan		55	(25.0)	10
Craig Hawkinson	Tony Massa	Dan Mahar		49	(31.0)	8
DJ Mahar	Jon Carroll	Gary Antos		39	(41.0)	11

Just shocking, Jim. The team of Joey, Jack and Dean Mott are projected to take down the prize. What a bold prediction by the Stat Boy. How would you assess their chances of executing on the prediction?

They certainly have a lot of work to do if they want to walk away with the title. Who do you think is actually going to walk away with the title then?

Jesus Jim…what a douchebag. We’re talking golf here, not baseball. This isn’t a joke, Jim. If Jon Carroll finishes last, he may drown himself in the creek on #18.

That’s more like it….serious studying of the in-and-outs of Tanner. Nice sweater vest, asshole. All kidding aside Jim, I’d like to thank you for stopping by to help me preview the 2015 TBO Golf season. First beer is on me!

 

 

Here’s the full 2015 file for those interested:

2015 Projections text

With the long brutal winter now starting to pass us (knock on wood) and a date set for our preseason meeting, the IT Nerd wanted to drop some knowledge on you. Things to rattle around in your head during those dull times at work. Given by Joey Donegan’s email frequency, he has plenty of spare time…

As part of this preseason meeting, we’d talk tweaks to the current system to improve it. I highlighted a few ideas at the end of last year. After a winter off from staring at statistics, its time to put the nerd glasses back on, stare at the screen for hours and evaluate the ideas.

1. A Quota “Floor” or minimum: The thought behind this is so that those with low quotas don’t meet or exceed their quota with one hole or one lucky shot.
   • Minimum of 5 – Only five guys had a quota at 5 or lower, accounting for roughly 6% of all rounds. Bill Kirkby had a quota below 5 the entire year. Ironically, all five guys who had a quota below 5 ALL AVERAGED at least 5 pts. Bobby Z averaged 5.1 pts, Bill Kirkby averaged 5.7 pts, Bobby Mo averaged 5.8 pts, Artie averaged 6.1 pts and Jim Morgan Averaged 7.1 pts. Therefore, a quota floor of 5 wouldn’t really challenge anyone.
   • Minimum of 6 – The goal should be to stike a balance between hitting a Quota and not hitting a Quota. With the Quota of 6, you would at least challenge the bottom few golfers. Take Bill Kirkby for example. If he had a Quota floor of 6, he would have hit or surpassed it ~43% of the time. With no Quota floor, he hit or surpassed his Quota 93% of the time. Compare that with the top Golfer (Devin Carrigan) who hit or surpassed his Quota 72% of the time. Needless to say, Quota Floor of 6 is one change the IT Nerds recommends.
2. Minus 1 point for triple bogey or worse: Similar to the previous, this would discourage “sandbagging” by offering an incentive for not blowing up on a hole. It would also pull some of the lower quota players scores down. 
   • Minus 1 for Triple Bogey – This would have too much impact across the league. Would bring scores for a large majority of the league by at least half-a-point, with half the league being impacted severly.
   • Minus 1 for Double Par –  Has moderate impacts through Flight 2’s and upper Flight 3’s and a pretty sizeable impact on lower Flight 3’s. However, even with a -1 pt for double par, only four players would average BELOW 6 pts per week (Bobby Z 4.2, Bill Kirkby 4.4, Bobby Mo 5.2, Artie 5.7). Minus 1 for Double Par is a change the IT Nerd recommends.
3. Modification of Quota Scoring Formula Starting Point – This would just raise Quotas across the entire league and wouldn’t really solve the inequities between high and low Quotas. IT Nerd does not recommend this change.
4. Modification of Quota Scoring Formula to look at last 4, 5 or six rounds, not entire season – Long story short, Quota’s get locked in too early in the season and it becomes extremely difficult to change them over the last half of the season. Read below if you want more details. This is a remedy to the CONSTANT questioning I get: “How I am still an ‘X’ Quota when I just shot ‘Y’?”
   • Obviously, Quotas can’t move until after 2 rounds have been played. Under the old Scoring Formula, what you find is that Quotas fluctuate freely the first 4-5 weeks because scores fluctuate. The next 4-5 weeks sees Quota movement drop off sharply (almost 50% drop in Quota movement). The final 6-8 weeks, forget about having your Quota to move, its damn near impossible. Only about 3-4 guys per week in the final 4 weeks have a Quota move. The problem with this system? Scores across all Flights trend downward throughout the year, thus not allowing Quota adjustments for mid or late year improvements. Therefore, what you see is that scores keep decreasing, but Quotas are too slow to react and never able to catch back up to actual play
   • I looked at what using the last 4 rounds played would look like. Over the first 4 weeks, it exactly mirrors what the current system is. The key benefit to this change? The pace and direction of the Quota change is roughly equal to that of the actual scores…which is the goal isn’t it? Using the last four rounds played as the Quota Scoring Formula base is a change the IT Nerd recommends.
5. Removal of the “Max +/- 1 Quota movement per week – Concept is to allow Quota to move with the Player’s actual scores. The Max Movement is instituted to prevent wild fluctuations.
   • If you removed it completely, there are times when Quotas can move 3 or 4 pts in one week. This is mostly in the Week 2 and 3 as there is a lack of Player Scores. That’s too much fluctuation for one week
   • If this rule was to be modified, it should be moved to a Max +/- 2 Quota movement per week. The IT Nerd is neither for or against this change.  

 

See you bitches at Swallows…

IT Nerd

 

With the year end tournament coming up on Saturday, it’s time for the IT Nerd to retire from spending WAY too much time on this site and golf stats…

2014 was a year of change for TBO. We ditched the old Match play scoring in favor of the Modified Stableford Quota Scoring system. This radically changed the way in which you approach your matches. We also moved to three man teams from two man. We went from four 8-man flights to three 12-man flights and had a random draw to determine the third man. Cross-flight play was introduced to mix up the competition. Lots of changes were made and the use of past year’s stats were applied in an attempt to make the best decisions.

That being said, I wanted to plant in all your minds some thoughts to think about over the winter. Given that this was our first year in the new system, I think that we need to review what worked/what didn’t work and think about how to improve for next year.

Below are lists of ideas to improve for next year. I’d still need to review the impact of each proposed idea and run it by the Commish to get his thoughts. Also, we’d probably need to get the entire league to weigh in at the preseason meeting before making any changes.

1. A Quota “floor” or minimum – Given that some guys have Quota’s that are super low, it just takes one or two good shots to meet these quotas. This idea would make it so that a Quota could not dip below a certain number, say 5 or 6.
2. Minus 1 point for scoring triple bogey or worse – The thought is that once folks reach double bogey, they have no points anyway and its in their best interests to just get a double par. This would provide incentive for getting in with a double bogey. Would need to see how big of an impact this would be.
3. Modification of Quota Scoring Formula Starting Point – Without getting into too much detail, the idea here would be to make Quota’s go up across the entire league, thus making it harder to hit your quota.
4. Modification of Quota Scoring Formula to look at last 4, 5, or 6 rounds, not entire season – Currently, Quota’s are relatively easy to move in the early parts of the year and it gets harder to move it towards the end of the year, regardless of how you are actually playing. The idea here is that the Quota system would be reflecting how you are playing over the last 4, 5 or 6 rounds, not over the entire season.
5. Removal of the “Max +/- 1 Quota Movement” per week – Somewhat closely related to the previous bullet, the idea is that the Quota would be reflecting how you are actually playing. The thought is that if you really are playing well or bad, the Quota would follow you there ASAP as opposed to needing 2-3 weeks to adjust.

All thoughts that will be reviewed, debated, discussed, mulled over in the off season!

See you all on Saturday.

IT Nerd

Who’s got the most rings in the league???

Two-Time winners: Nick Wight (2011, 2014), DJ Mahar (2012, 2014) and Jon Carroll (2011, 2012)

One-Time Winners: Bob Moran (2014), Hawkinson and Prucha (2013), TJ and Marty (2010), Mott and Antos (2009), Steve and Scott Gasiorowski (2008)

 

Earlier in the year, I looked at the luckiest/unluckiest golfers and over/under performers against Quota. Time to revist the Top 5 for each category.

Top 5 Luckiest Golfers:

1. Nick Wight: Nick’s Opponents were -19 against him
2. Drew Prucha: -16
3. Connor Brown: -12
4. Matt Lochner: -11
5. Brian Thompson: -5

Top 5 Unluckiest Golfers:

1. TJ Donegan: Opponents were +29 against their Quota vs. TJ
2. Art Brillanti: +26
3. Pat Cregg: +23
4. Steve Donegan: +23
5. Denny Welch: +19

Top 5 Overperformers against Quota:

1. Bill Kirkby: Bill was +39 vs his Quota over the season
2. Devin Carrigan: +30
3. Dickie Donegan: +27
4. Connor Brown: +26
5. Bobby Moran: +24

Top 5 Underperformers against Quota:

1. Matt Lochner: -25 against his Quota
2. Chris Donegan: -13
3. Gary Thompson: -10
4. Gary Antos: -9
5. Tom Phillips: -8

The below table shows reflects where everyone is projected to be flighted next year. It asks the question: If the player listed stepped up to the tee, what’s the chance they score an Eagle, Birdie, Par, Bogey or gets no points at all?

		Eagle %	Birdie %	Par %	Bogey %	No Pts %	Avg Round Points	Avg Quota	Avg Perf
Flight 1	Devin Carrigan	0.7%	10.4%	50.7%	28.5%	9.7%	15.9	13.9	2.0
	Nick Wight	0.0%	9.8%	49.0%	31.4%	9.8%	15.2	13.9	1.3
	Pat Donahue	0.0%	9.2%	49.7%	31.4%	9.8%	15.1	13.5	1.6
	Connor Brown	0.0%	4.3%	51.9%	36.4%	7.4%	14.2	12.4	1.8
	Dick Donegan	0.0%	6.8%	45.1%	30.9%	17.3%	13.3	12.4	0.9
	TJ Donegan	0.0%	4.9%	43.8%	36.4%	14.8%	12.9	12.2	0.7
	Jack Donegan	0.0%	0.8%	42.9%	43.7%	12.7%	11.9	11.9	0.0
	Craig Hawkinson	0.0%	3.9%	41.2%	35.9%	19.0%	12.1	11.1	1.0
	Steve Donegan	0.0%	3.3%	40.5%	42.5%	13.7%	12.3	11.6	0.7
	Bill John	0.0%	5.2%	39.9%	32.7%	22.2%	12.0	11.8	0.2
	DJ Mahar	0.0%	5.6%	35.4%	38.9%	20.1%	11.9	11.8	0.1
	Vinny Procopio	0.0%	3.2%	35.7%	45.2%	15.9%	11.6	10.5	1.1
Flight 2	Jon Carroll	0.0%	6.5%	35.9%	34.6%	22.9%	11.9	10.2	1.7
	Dale Russell	0.0%	3.3%	38.6%	36.6%	21.6%	11.4	11.5	(0.1)
	Brian Thompson	0.9%	8.5%	31.6%	33.3%	25.6%	12.4	11.3	1.1
	Mike Carroll	0.0%	4.3%	34.6%	39.5%	21.6%	11.3	10.9	0.4
	Tom Phillips	0.0%	3.5%	29.2%	44.4%	22.9%	10.5	10.3	0.2
	Sean Mott	0.0%	3.7%	30.2%	39.5%	26.5%	10.3	11.2	(0.9)
	Chris Donegan	0.0%	0.0%	25.3%	50.6%	24.1%	9.1	8.4	0.7
	Drew Prucha	0.0%	2.0%	23.5%	46.4%	28.1%	9.1	9.2	(0.1)
	Matt Lochner	0.0%	1.2%	23.5%	43.8%	31.5%	8.6	9.8	(1.2)
	Rick Fanto	0.0%	0.7%	22.2%	50.0%	27.1%	8.8	8.6	0.2
	Tony Massa	0.0%	1.9%	24.7%	39.5%	34.0%	8.7	7.3	1.4
	Marty Donegan	0.0%	1.2%	28.4%	35.8%	34.6%	8.8	8.3	0.5
Flight 3	Gary Thompson	0.0%	2.6%	20.3%	39.9%	37.3%	8.2	8.9	(0.7)
	Tom Donegan	0.0%	1.4%	16.7%	47.2%	34.7%	7.8	7.5	0.3
	Gary Antos	0.0%	1.3%	19.0%	41.8%	37.9%	7.6	7.3	0.3
	Denny Welch	0.7%	0.7%	16.3%	43.0%	39.3%	7.6	6.8	0.8
	Dan Mahar	0.0%	0.6%	16.7%	44.4%	38.3%	7.2	6.5	0.7
	Pat Cregg	0.0%	1.3%	21.6%	38.6%	38.6%	7.8	7.6	0.2
	Joe Donegan	0.0%	1.2%	16.0%	38.3%	44.4%	6.8	6.6	0.2
	Jim Morgan	0.0%	2.1%	19.4%	31.3%	47.2%	7.1	5.7	1.4
	Art Brillanti	0.0%	0.9%	15.4%	33.3%	50.4%	6.1	5.8	0.3
	Bob Moran	0.0%	1.3%	15.0%	28.8%	54.9%	5.8	3.3	2.5
	Bob Zaleski	0.0%	0.7%	11.1%	31.1%	57.0%	5.1	4.4	0.7
	Bill Kirkby	0.0%	0.0%	15.7%	31.5%	52.8%	5.7	2.6	3.1

Here’s a look at the same thing by Flight:

	Flight 1	Flight 2	Flight 3
Eagle %	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Birdie %	5.6%	3.1%	1.2%
Par %	43.8%	29.0%	16.9%
Bogey %	36.2%	41.2%	37.4%
No Pts %	14.4%	26.7%	44.4%
Average Round Points	13.2	10.1	6.9
Average Quota	12.3	9.8	6.1
Avg Flight Performance	0.9	0.3	0.8

A few notes on the 2014 Averages…

The League on average shed roughly .85 strokes from its 18 hole round, so play was improved overall. 22 of 36 golfers improved on their 2013 campaigns. With the top two improvements coming from the champions, it goes to show that no matter what the scoring system is, you still need to shoot well!

A look at the cutlines between flights saw Marty Donegan comfortably into Flight 2 from Flight 3. An interesting situation occured that the Flight 1/Flight 2 cutline.

You might want to think twice about Gimmie putts the next time it still has some meat left on it. Every stroke matters! Had Jon Carroll use ONE less stroke in 2014, he would jump Vinny Procopio for the final Flight 1 spot. Jon would also have secured a Flight 1 spot of Vinny had added one stroke throught out the year or if DJ Mahar had added two strokes to his 2014 rounds.

Top 5 Stroke Improvements:

1. Bobby Mo: -8.75
2. DJ Mahar: -5.64
3. Art Brillanti: -5.26
4. Jon “My Lessons are Paying Off” Carroll: -4.10
5. Tony Massa: -3.83

Top 5 Tough Seasons:

1. Brian Thompson: +5.65
2. Mike Carroll: +4.33
3. Joe “Jaguar Steelz” Donegan: +4.14
4. Jim “Sandbagger” Morgan: +2.58
5. Matt Lochner: +1.72

			Front	Back	Change from 2013
Flight 1	Devin Carrigan	78.75	38.50	40.25
	Nick Wight	79.42	39.67	39.75	-0.96
	Pat Donahue	79.88	40.00	39.88	-0.98
	Connor Brown	80.67	41.44	39.22
	Dick Donegan	83.44	42.89	40.56	-1.19
	TJ Donegan	83.67	41.78	41.89	-1.11
	Jack Donegan	84.50	43.00	41.50	-0.88
	Craig Hawkinson	85.28	43.78	41.50	-0.74
	Steve Donegan	85.40	43.78	41.63	-0.26
	Bill John	85.83	42.33	43.50
	DJ Mahar	86.25	43.50	42.75	-5.64
	Vinny Procopio	86.29	42.00	44.29
Flight 2	Jon Carroll	86.38	44.38	42.00	-4.10
	Dale Russell	86.61	43.50	43.11	-2.68
	Brian Thompson	86.67	43.67	43.00	5.65
	Mike Carroll	87.00	44.22	42.78	4.33
	Tom Phillips	88.54	45.43	43.11	1.21
	Sean Mott	90.00	46.00	44.00	-2.11
	Chris Donegan	91.22	45.89	45.33	-0.40
	Drew Prucha	92.03	45.25	46.78	-0.13
	Matt Lochner	92.11	46.11	46.00	1.72
	Rick Fanto	92.67	47.00	45.67	0.83
	Tony Massa	93.44	47.67	45.78	-3.83
	Marty Donegan	93.56	47.44	46.11	-2.46
Flight 3	Gary Thompson	94.01	47.13	46.89	-0.27
	Tom Donegan	94.75	48.00	46.75	-3.23
	Gary Antos	95.94	48.50	47.44	1.56
	Denny Welch	96.09	48.71	47.38
	Dan Mahar	96.11	47.44	48.67	-0.25
	Pat Cregg	96.97	49.22	47.75	0.37
	Joe Donegan	98.56	47.56	51.00	4.14
	Jim Morgan	99.50	50.38	49.13	2.58
	Art Brillanti	100.24	50.57	49.67	-5.26
	Bob Moran	101.25	52.00	49.25	-8.75
	Bob Zaleski	104.80	53.43	51.38	-0.75
	Bill Kirkby	105.31	53.71	51.60	-2.48

Flight 1			Flight 3
Nick Wight	BIR#11BIR#12	$     24	Bob Moran		$             –
Pat Donahue		$     –	Bob Zaleski		$             –
Brian Thompson		$     –	Bill Kirkby		$             –
Mike Carroll		$     –	Art Brillanti		$             –
Dick Donegan		$     –	Bill John		$             –
TJ Donegan	BIR#17	$     12	Tony Massa		$             –
Jack Donegan		$     –	Tom Donegan		$             –
Steve Donegan		$     –	Jim Morgan	BIR#13BIR#14	$           36
Craig Hawkinson		$     –	Pat Cregg		$             –
Tom Phillips		$     –	Dan Mahar		$             –
Devin Carrigan		$     –	Joe Donegan		$             –
Dale Russell		$     –	Marty Donegan		$             –
Flight 2
DJ Mahar		$     –	Gary Antos		$             –
Vinny Procopio		$     –	Matt Lochner		$             –
Gary Thompson		$     –	Drew Prucha		$             –
Rick Fanto		$     –	Jon Carroll		$             –
Denny Welch	EAG#13	$     18	Sean Mott		$             –
Connor Brown	PAR#11	$     18	Chris Donegan		$             –

Player	Quota	Pts	Pts. %	Wins	Loses	Ties	Win %	Skins	Winnings
Nick Wight	15	29	85.3%	14	2	1	82.4%	13	160
Connor Brown	14	26	72.2%	12	4	2	66.7%	9	97
Bill Kirkby	4	19	67.9%	8	3	3	57.1%	0	0
Bill John	12	22	64.7%	10	5	2	58.8%	17	212
Drew Prucha	9	22	61.1%	10	6	2	55.6%	4	30
Tony Massa	9	22	61.1%	10	6	2	55.6%	7	87
Rick Fanto	9	20	58.8%	9	6	2	52.9%	1	7
Jon Carroll	12	20	58.8%	9	6	2	52.9%	9	107
Dick Donegan	13	21	58.3%	10	7	1	55.6%	5	44
Devin Carrigan	15	21	58.3%	9	6	3	50.0%	10	90
Bob Moran	6	19	55.9%	8	6	3	47.1%	3	30
Bob Zaleski	4	16	53.3%	6	5	4	40.0%	1	12
Jim Morgan	6	17	53.1%	8	7	1	50.0%	6	79
Tom Phillips	11	18	52.9%	8	7	2	47.1%	2	24
Vinny Procopio	12	18	52.9%	8	7	2	47.1%	8	62
Craig Hawkinson	12	19	52.8%	8	7	3	44.4%	3	19
Joe Donegan	7	19	52.8%	7	6	5	38.9%	3	25
Sean Mott	10	19	52.8%	9	8	1	50.0%	8	110
Pat Donahue	14	18	50.0%	7	7	4	38.9%	10	137
Brian Thompson	12	15	50.0%	6	6	3	40.0%	4	61
Dan Mahar	8	17	47.2%	7	8	3	38.9%	5	55
Tom Donegan	8	16	47.1%	6	7	4	35.3%	2	24
Denny Welch	8	14	46.7%	7	8	0	46.7%	3	34
Mike Carroll	11	15	41.7%	6	9	3	33.3%	3	20
TJ Donegan	13	15	41.7%	7	10	1	38.9%	4	34
DJ Mahar	12	14	41.2%	6	9	2	35.3%	4	54
Steve Donegan	12	13	38.2%	5	9	3	29.4%	4	32
Art Brillanti	6	11	36.7%	4	8	3	26.7%	1	12
Gary Thompson	9	13	36.1%	5	10	3	27.8%	3	43
Marty Donegan	9	13	36.1%	6	11	1	33.3%	6	81
Chris Donegan	10	13	36.1%	5	10	3	27.8%	0	0
Matt Lochner	9	13	36.1%	6	11	1	33.3%	2	54
Gary Antos	8	12	35.3%	5	10	2	29.4%	2	11
Pat Cregg	7	12	35.3%	5	10	2	29.4%	3	30
Dale Russell	12	11	30.6%	3	10	5	16.7%	1	6
Jack Donegan	12	9	30.0%	3	9	3	20.0%	1	18

Congratulations to the winners – Nick Wight, DJ Mahar, and Bob Moran. A little season recap for the winners…

DJ started off as one of the hotter golfers this year racking up the points in Weeks 1-5, going 4-0-1. As the golf gods giveth, the golf gods taketh away. After a sub in Week 6 (who lost), DJ saw his average go to a 44 from a 41 and a record of 1-8. He was able to right the ship in the end, going 1-1-1 and averaging a 42 over the final 3 weeks. His critical win in Week 17 helped vault his team to the top of the leaderboard. A real testament to not throwing in the towel after a tough spell

Bobby Mo’s season followed a similar trajectory. Bobby started the first half of the year 5-1-2. However, his early successes were followed by 1-5-1 stretch. Bob’s average over these two seperate stretches is the same, so it was a case of the Quota system correcting itself. Like DJ, Bob was able to adjust in the end and get two wins in the final two weeks, with a critical 46 in the final week.

While Bobby and DJ certainly were critical down the stretch, neither of them would have been in this position had it not been for the play of Nick Wight. Nick had a season for the record books. Nick’s season started rocky. Week 1 was played later in the year, so Week 2-4 saw Nick start 0-2-1. After that, Nick never looked back. He set a TBO record by winning 14 STRAIGHT matches (Old record of 10), never losing or tying for the rest of the season. If you include his Week 1 makeup which was played during that time, his win streak is actually 15. Nick tied the record for most wins in a season with a 14-2-1 mark (Sean Mott in 2009 was 14-1-2, Mike Carroll was 14-3-1 in 2010). He also tied Sean’s 2009 record mark for Win % with 82.4%.

The Standings page is updated to reflect Week 18 and a few more updates are coming!

Here’s what player’s averages are through Week 17. Some quick highlights:

Top 3 improvements:

1. Bobby Moran – Shaved 8.29 strokes off of his average! That’s roughly a stroke a hole. Impressive by any measure!
2. DJ Mahar – Cut 5.39 strokes off his average to take a tentative leap into Flight 1 and a shot at the title
3. Art Brillanti – Shaved 5.26 strokes off his average.

			Front	Back	Change from 2013
Flight 1	Devin Carrigan	78.75	38.50	40.25	N/A
	Pat Donahue	79.88	40.00	39.88	-0.98
	Nick Wight	80.10	39.67	40.43	-0.29
	Connor Brown	80.82	41.44	39.38	N/A
	Dick Donegan	83.51	42.89	40.63	-1.12
	TJ Donegan	84.03	41.78	42.25	-0.75
	Jack Donegan	84.50	43.00	41.50	-0.88
	Craig Hawkinson	85.28	43.78	41.50	-0.74
	Steve Donegan	85.49	43.78	41.71	-0.17
	Brian Thompson	86.33	43.67	42.67	5.32
	Bill John	86.48	42.33	44.14	N/A
	DJ Mahar	86.50	43.50	43.00	-5.39
Flight 2	Vinny Procopio	86.50	42.00	44.50	N/A
	Dale Russell	86.63	43.50	43.13	-2.67
	Jon Carroll	86.63	44.38	42.25	-3.85
	Mike Carroll	87.47	44.22	43.25	4.80
	Tom Phillips	88.18	45.43	42.75	0.85
	Sean Mott	90.38	46.00	44.38	-1.74
	Chris Donegan	90.89	45.89	45.00	-0.73
	Drew Prucha	91.88	45.25	46.63	-0.29
	Matt Lochner	92.11	46.11	46.00	1.72
	Rick Fanto	92.75	47.00	45.75	0.92
	Tony Massa	93.04	47.67	45.38	-4.23
	Marty Donegan	93.69	47.44	46.25	-2.32
Flight 3	Gary Thompson	94.00	47.13	46.88	-0.29
	Tom Donegan	95.00	48.00	47.00	-2.98
	Gary Antos	95.88	48.50	47.38	1.49
	Dan Mahar	96.19	47.44	48.75	-0.17
	Pat Cregg	96.22	49.22	47.00	-0.38
	Denny Welch	97.14	48.71	48.43	N/A
	Joe Donegan	99.56	47.56	52.00	5.14
	Art Brillanti	100.24	50.57	49.67	-5.26
	Jim Morgan	100.38	50.38	50.00	3.45
	Bob Moran	101.71	52.00	49.71	-8.29
	Bob Zaleski	104.80	53.43	51.38	-0.75
	Bill Kirkby	105.31	53.71	51.60	-2.48

After an interesting Week 17 that saw the leaders drop, time to head into the home stretch. Mathematically speaking, there are only two teams that have a shot of winning the title. Nick, DJ and Bobby Mo have a 1.5 pt lead and will square off against TJ, Connor and Tony Massa. Despite T-Bird, Jon and Dan Mahar’s best effort and even if they get 7 pts in Week 18, they would fall short by HALF A POINT in various scenarios. Just imagine if one of the guys on that team turned one of their five 1 pt losses into a tie…Every week, every match matters!

Before getting into Week 17, here’s the skins for Flight 2 from Week 16.

Flight 2
DJ Mahar	BIR#18	$     18	Gary Antos		$             –
Vinny Procopio		$     –	Matt Lochner		$             –
Gary Thompson	BIR#11	$     18	Drew Prucha		$             –
Rick Fanto		$     –	Jon Carroll		$             –
Denny Welch		$     –	Sean Mott		$             –
Connor Brown		$     –	Chris Donegan		$             –

 

On to Week 17 results…

Flight 1			Flight 3
Nick Wight		$     –	Bob Moran		$             –
Pat Donahue		$     –	Bob Zaleski		$             –
Brian Thompson		$     –	Bill Kirkby		$             –
Mike Carroll		$     –	Art Brillanti		$             –
Dick Donegan		$     –	Bill John		$             –
TJ Donegan		$     –	Tony Massa		$             –
Jack Donegan	BIR#5	$     18	Tom Donegan		$             –
Steve Donegan		$     –	Jim Morgan	PAR#3PAR#5	$           18
Craig Hawkinson		$     –	Pat Cregg	PAR#4	$             9
Tom Phillips		$     –	Dan Mahar	PAR#9	$             9
Devin Carrigan	EAG#2	$     18	Joe Donegan		$             –
Dale Russell		$     –	Marty Donegan		$             –
Flight 2
DJ Mahar		$     –	Gary Antos		$             –
Vinny Procopio		$     –	Matt Lochner		$             –
Gary Thompson	BIR#7	$       7	Drew Prucha		$             –
Rick Fanto	BIR#5	$       7	Jon Carroll	BIR#9	$             7
Denny Welch	BIR#4	$       7	Sean Mott		$             –
Connor Brown	PAR#3	$       7	Chris Donegan		$             –

Week 18 Schedule:

Week 18
Nick Wight	14	VS	13	TJ Donegan
DJ Mahar	12	VS	14	Connor Brown
Bob Moran	5	VS	9	Tony Massa
Tom Phillips	11	VS	13	Dick Donegan
Jon Carroll	12	VS	7	Denny Welch
Dan Mahar	8	VS	12	Bill John
Devin Carrigan	15	VS	14	Pat Donahue
Sean Mott	10	VS	12	Vinny Procopio
Joe Donegan	7	VS	4	Bob Zaleski
Craig Hawkinson	12	VS	12	Brian Thompson
Drew Prucha	10	VS	9	Gary Thompson
Pat Cregg	8	VS	4	Bill Kirkby
Steve Donegan	12	VS	11	Mike Carroll
Matt Lochner	9	VS	9	Rick Fanto
Jim Morgan	6	VS	6	Art Brillanti
Jack Donegan	12	VS	12	Dale Russell
Gary Antos	8	VS	10	Chris Donegan
Tom Donegan	8	VS	9	Marty Donegan

Standings page is updated with the scores from Week 16. Note there is only one match still outstanding (Chris vs. Matt Lochner). That match will be made up prior to the start of play for Week 17.

Flight 1			Flight 3
Nick Wight	BIR#10	$     36	Bob Moran		$             –
Pat Donahue		$     –	Bob Zaleski		$             –
Brian Thompson		$     –	Bill Kirkby		$             –
Mike Carroll		$     –	Art Brillanti		$             –
Dick Donegan		$     –	Bill John		$             –
TJ Donegan		$     –	Tony Massa	PAR#10	$           18
Jack Donegan		$     –	Tom Donegan		$             –
Steve Donegan		$     –	Jim Morgan	PAR#15	$           18
Craig Hawkinson		$     –	Pat Cregg		$             –
Tom Phillips		$     –	Dan Mahar		$             –
Devin Carrigan		$     –	Joe Donegan		$             –
Dale Russell		$     –	Marty Donegan		$             –

As for the standings, it looks to be TJ/Connor/Tony’s title to lose.

Team Standings				Pts	Pts Back
TJ Donegan	Connor Brown	Tony Massa		70	–
Nick Wight	DJ Mahar	Bob Moran		65.5	(4.5)
Pat Donahue	Vinny Procopio	Bob Zaleski		62.5	(7.5)
Dick Donegan	Denny Welch	Bill John		61	(9.0)
Tom Phillips	Jon Carroll	Dan Mahar		61	(9.0)
Craig Hawkinson	Drew Prucha	Pat Cregg		61	(9.0)

 

For the three teams at 9 points back, they need two things to happen. The top team to get anywhere from 0-2 pts AND need to get 7 points from their matches. Not an impossibility, but certainly a long shot. Same can be said for the folks at 7.5 points back. Might not need to get 7, but certainly need to get the top team stumble and 6 points. The team in second place needs to gain about a point or two to make Position Night interesting.

 

To give those teams chasing the leader a little ray of hope…Connor and Devin pre-played their Week 17 match. Devin was +6, Connor was 0. Leaders have had a slight stumble, are they ready for a fall this week?

 

Schedule for Week 17

Week 17
Sean Mott	10	VS	9	Tony Massa
Devin Carrigan	15	VS	14	Connor Brown
Joe Donegan	6	VS	13	TJ Donegan
Chris Donegan	10	VS	5	Bob Moran
Dale Russell	12	VS	12	DJ Mahar
Marty Donegan	9	VS	14	Nick Wight
Jon Carroll	11	VS	8	Tom Donegan
Tom Phillips	11	VS	8	Gary Antos
Dan Mahar	8	VS	12	Jack Donegan
Vinny Procopio	12	VS	12	Bill John
Pat Donahue	14	VS	7	Denny Welch
Bob Zaleski	5	VS	13	Dick Donegan
Rick Fanto	9	VS	6	Jim Morgan
Mike Carroll	11	VS	9	Matt Lochner
Art Brillanti	6	VS	12	Steve Donegan
Gary Thompson	8	VS	7	Pat Cregg
Brian Thompson	12	VS	10	Drew Prucha
Bill Kirkby	4	VS	12	Craig Hawkinson